You’re overestimating your chances

Let’s say you think there’s a 20% chance your plan will work. 

Your actual odds are probably closer to 10%.

That’s not a bad thing. 

It’s your optimism bias at play. 

It happens when you care about the outcome and want it to succeed.

But even if you’re working with a 1 in 10 chance, that doesn’t mean you’ll succeed on the 10th try. 

It might take 15. 

Or 20. 

But once we hit that point where our expectations aren’t realised, we start pulling back. 

Our energy drops. 

We doubt whether we’re on the right track. 

And if you then pull back fully, your chances drop to 0%. 

Everyone sets expectations when they go after something. 

But the key to success is showing up consistently and working to improve those odds over time.

So if it’s taking longer than you hoped, that’s normal. 

Keep applying. 

Keep trying. 

Stay in the game long enough for your number to hit 100%.


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